The Lehmann
Letter (SM)
This morning’s
GDP report included good news on profits.
After-tax
corporate profits surged to $1,669.3 billion in this
year’s first quarter, rising substantially from last quarter’s $1,493.9
billion. Look at the chart to put it in perspective. The new reading is off the
top of the chart, breaking away from an earlier plateau of around $1,400.0
billion.
That’s
bullish for the stock market and, we hope, an omen of future good news. This
letter has been skeptical: Seeing a top in profit margins and leery of future sales-volume
gains. Perhaps that skepticism was unwarranted.
Profits
Meanwhile,
the remainder of the GDP report was ho-hum:
GDP grew by
only 1.9% in the first quarter, down slightly from last month’s preliminary
report of a 2.2% gain. Government spending remained a drag as it contracted.
That’s too bad, because it could be growing absent concerns about deficits.
Consumption and business capital expenditures continued to improve.
But – once again
– the profits report was good. Let’s hope it was an omen of future good tidings.
(To be fully
informed visit http://www.beyourowneconomist.com/)
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